Posted on December 17, by Scott Alexander I.
The longer answer is that the EIA is very, very conservative. They think of their primary audience as Counter arguments for hybrid cars the US Congress. They think of their base case projections as simply being the current situation, and then they provide other scenarios which reflect possible policy changes.
Up to that point, solar will have been doubling every two years and wind every three to four years. I would appreciate any hints as to why they think neither solar nor wind will double for the next ten years after ?
In the Department of Energy they predict increases throughwith an end total of Here is there interactive mapping. Meanwhile, further improvements are poised to make wind economical in every state.
EIA guys are well aware their future paychecks and bennies depend on turning out a product satisfactory to their political masters. Expecting them to publish results that would piss off the big boys who keep congress critters in office via campaign contributions is insanity.
Keeping the BAU apple cart upright is a tricky business. If the public were ever to get the idea that gas and oil are going to be scarce and expensive …. A shit load of bankers and industrialists would lose their asses.
OF course the smartest or luckiest ones would see it coming and divest and get into renewables early. I have no doubt whatsoever that they all see the writing on the wall already!
This morning I just happened to be reading the financial statements from BASF and it is perfectly clear that petrochemicals are just way too valuable. It is just plain stupid to continue burning them as we have been doing until now!
Citigroup predicts renewables will replace coal and gas in power generation, which will free up the use of gas as a substitute for oil in transport. But I do believe it is coming. Optimists of the technology tribe are generally in my opinion a little on the giddy side and fail to take into account plain old inertia and habit on the part of naked apes.
Here is an excerpt from the link: UBS, however, argues that solar panels and batteries will be disruptive technologies. So, too, will electric vehicles and storage. By the end of the decade, it says, the combination of will deliver a pay-back time of between six to 8 years, as this graph below shows.
It will fall to around 3 years by Right now, the payback is probably around 12 years, enough to encourage the interest of early adopters. You can read more here on Why EVs will make solar viable without subsidies. But it could equally apply to Australia, which has both high electricity and high fuel costs, and a lot more sun — so solar is much cheaper.
It is inevitable imo that they will figure out ways to use renewable power to support their economy at less expense to them than paying for ever more expensive imported fossil fuels. I think it is more important that we realize putting money into infrastructure for the long-term support of fossil fuels might not be wise.
Granted, EVs still use roads, so maintaining a road system goes on no matter how vehicles are powered.All good points of which I would not to be n expert on, however I would offer up some discussion points to your comments.
I would agree that it “can take several minutes to drain back down into the sump once the engine is stopped” and add that even after it has drained a thin film of oil would remain.
As one observer commented, the Chevrolet Volt is one of the most politically “charged” cars ever produced. Politics aside, the Volt is a remarkable automobile that delivers exactly what. TheINQUIRER publishes daily news, reviews on the latest gadgets and devices, and INQdepth articles for tech buffs and hobbyists.
I would say this is a little extreme and takes away lifestyle. If someone makes $k per year they can easily afford a car better than $10k. Get the latest science news and technology news, read tech reviews and more at ABC News.
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